Bitwise CEO：四年周期将因“反身性”被打破，2026 年仍未被定义

ChainCatcher 4 hours ago 153

ChainCatcher 消息，Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley 发文表示，以下是其观察到的每四年周期内发生的事情：

普遍观点：人们相信四年周期，因此 2026 年将是比特币下跌的一年；
一级效应：因此人们会在 2025 年开始抛售以避开市场低迷的年份；
二阶效应：2025 年的卖方导致 2025 年成为下跌年，从而打破了 4 年周期；
三阶效应：2026 年仍未被定义，但四年周期被打破。

近期 Hunter Horsley 曾表示：“四年周期是过去时代，自比特币现货 ETF 推出以来，我们进入了一个新的市场结构：新的参与者、新的动态、人们买卖的新理由。我认为我们很有可能已经经历了近 6 个月的熊市，并且即将走出熊市。目前加密货币的发展环境从未如此有利。”

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