Traders and analysts alike are closely tracking this level, suggesting it may serve as the launchpad for a potential long-term recovery toward $10 or higher by 2026.

The recent price action reflects both caution and conviction within the Sui crypto community. While short-term weakness mirrors broader market softness, bullish traders argue that the token’s strong fundamentals, expanding ecosystem, and strategic accumulation range may lay the groundwork for the next breakout phase. With major token unlocks and increasing developer traction ahead, Sui is at a critical crossroads that could shape its trajectory for years to come.

Support Holds Amid Market Pressure

As of late October 2025, Sui traded near $2.31, suffering a roughly 7% drop in one day and about 15% over the week. This decline reflects the broader weakness affecting layer-1 networks at large. Still, Sui’s bulls appear to be digging in: the $2.28 level has emerged as a key defensive zone. Holding this area is seen as critical for any meaningful rebound.

Analysts suggest that if Sui (SUI ($2.36)) maintains the $2–$1.60 support zone, it could mark a prime accumulation phase ahead of a potential rally toward $10 and beyond. Source: @CryptoPatel via X

If Sui can maintain support above $2.28, analysts believe a bounce toward $3.00 may be realistic in the near term. However, failure to hold could expose the token to deeper retracement. In a market where sentiment shifts fast, the current consolidation may set the stage for either a recovery or further erosion of confidence.

Token Unlock Could Spark Volatility

Another important piece of the picture is the upcoming token distribution. Sui is scheduled to undergo a large token unlock of about $103 million on November 1. Historically, such unlocks inject uncertainty—additional supply hitting the market can pressure price unless matched by strong demand or bullish catalysts.

Sui (SUI) remains on a bullish trajectory, with analysts projecting a potential rise to $4 before the end of Q4. Source: @x0mario via X

The unlock raises the question: will the accumulation zone remain intact under pressure, or will the fresh supply prompt a shake-out? Traders are divided. Some view the unlock as a one-off event that could pass without major damage if sentiment holds. Others warn that a misstep here could derail momentum and push support zones lower. Either way, the unlock adds a layer of complexity to any Sui token price prediction.

Technical Outlook: Path to $10+ by 2026

A key bullish driver comes from technical chart analysis. Analyst CryptoPatel highlighted a pattern on the SUI/USDT ($1.00) chart, pointing to an accumulation range between $1.60 and $2.00—levels which historically preceded moves upward. According to his model, a breakout from that zone could trigger a rally toward $10 or more by 2026.

Sui (SUI) must hold the $2.28 level to maintain its bullish roadmap, while a drop below could signal further downside in wave C of ii. Source: @Manofbitcoin via X

Another prominent supporter, @x0mario, forecasts a rise to around $4 by the end of 2025, assuming Sui regains traction from its current dip near $2.31. Both supporters anchor their bullish views on Sui’s high-throughput blockchain, growing activity within its ecosystem, and a rebound in crypto market sentiment. While the $10+ target is ambitious, they argue it is not impossible, provided key technical and fundamental conditions align.

Long-Term Considerations & Investment Lens

On a longer horizon, some forecasts put Sui’s average price near $7-$9 by 2026, with highs stretching toward $10.83 under bullish scenarios.

Sui was trading at around $2.31, down 7.80% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

With a strong TVL reported and increasing developer interest, Sui’s fundamentals appear promising. Yet, external factors—such as macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory shifts, or liquidity events—can easily reshape outcomes. Investors should therefore view any Sui coin price prediction with caution, recognizing the inherent risk.

Final Thoughts

Sui’s current defense of the $2.28 support level represents more than just a short-term technical moment—it could define the token’s trajectory into 2026. While near-term targets of $3–$4 may be reachable if support holds, the much-discussed ambition of a $10+ rally remains contingent on a combination of technical breakout, ecosystem adoption, and favorable market conditions. As the token unlock approaches and competition intensifies, the coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Sui steps into a broader uptrend or faces renewed consolidation.