The post U.S CPI News Today: Could Low Inflation Data Trigger Crypto and Stock Market Rally? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November is set to be released at 8:30 AM ET (7:00 PM IST) today. Analysts expect a headline reading of 3.1% and a core reading of 3.0%, with month-over-month growth projected at around 0.3%.

This CPI release is particularly important as the October report was canceled due to government shutdown-related data disruptions, leaving the Federal Reserve and markets partially in the dark. Investors are closely monitoring services for signs of sustained disinflation and goods to assess remaining tariff-driven price pressures.

Historical Market Reaction

In prior CPI releases, the S&P 500 rose 10 days later in 7 out of 8 cases, with October being the exception due to a hawkish FOMC. With the Fed meeting now behind us and seasonal “Santa rally” tailwinds approaching, markets are generally expected to move higher.

Potential Impact on Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin (BTC ($87,149.00)), Solana (SOL ($123.42)), and other crypto assets are highly sensitive to CPI data due to its influence on liquidity and Fed policy expectations.

Bullish Scenario

• CPI at or below 3.1% could ease Fed concerns
• Likely decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY)
• Increased liquidity may boost crypto prices

Bearish Scenario

• Hotter-than-expected CPI may keep the Fed cautious
• Risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, could face downward pressure

Bitcoin Technical Outlook

Traders expect potential liquidity sweeps and reactions around order blocks. While short-term volatility is likely, the higher timeframe trend for Bitcoin remains cautious, with the CPI data serving as a key near-term catalyst.

If November CPI meets or falls below 3.1%, cryptocurrencies may benefit from renewed bullish momentum alongside stocks. Conversely, a hotter reading could dampen market sentiment. Investors and traders should brace for volatile market reactions following the release.