VanEck’s Altcoin Season Index Signals Imminent Bitcoin Boom

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10 months ago 361

  • Matthew Sigel links recent altcoin rallies to Bitcoin’s climb past US$100k, predicting further BTC ($108,579.00) gains before it tops out.
  • The Altcoin Season Index, now at 63, suggests an upcoming Bitcoin rally; top altcoins like Hedera and Stellar show significant three-month gains.
  • Despite a slight market downturn, analysts like JA Maartunn view the current dip as a strong buying opportunity for assets including Bitcoin.
  • As traditional asset returns dwindle, investors are increasingly turning to alternatives like Bitcoin, potentially reshaping investment portfolios.

Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets at VanEck, believes the recent altcoin rally was driven by the Bitcoin surge past US$100k and will further fuel Bitcoin until it tops out.

Source: X

The Altcoin Season Index rose to 63 points, reflecting significant recent gains among top altcoins. Sigel also notes that surpassing 60 points on the index has historically led to an average 10% rise in BTC within one month, with more substantial gains over longer periods.

Related: Aussie Analyst Says Recurring Bitcoin Pattern Signals Potential Price Explosion

This trend not only boosts Bitcoin but also positively impacts other altcoins, creating a beneficial cycle of growth across the cryptocurrency market. Among the standout performers in the altcoin category are Hedera, Ethena and Stellar, achieving remarkable gains over the last three months.

Don't be alarmed!

Altcoin Season Index Mooning Implies Positive Returns for Bitcoin in Subsequent 1, 3, 6 Months.

🧵 pic.twitter.com/A2EfxaYzE2

— matthew sigel, recovering CFA (@matthew_sigel) December 10, 2024

Market Down, Analyst Says Good Buying Chance

Meanwhile, the market is taking a breather, as most assets are in the red, with all but stablecoins (and XRP ($2.34)) experiencing a dip.

Bitcoin is down almost 2% in the past 24 hours, while Ethereum dropped 5%, Solana 3% and XRP gained 9%.

Community analyst JA Maartunn believes the current situation suggests a ‘buy the dip’ opportunity. The Binance BTC Net Taker Volume has fallen below -US$30 million (approx. AU$47 million), indicating a strong buy signal. The indicator has had a high success rate over the last two months, according to Maartunn. 

🔔 Strong Buy Signal – Net Taker Volume (BTC – Binance)

Net Taker Volume has dropped below -$30,000,000. This indicator has a high succes rate over the last 2 months.

I was vocal bearish but it's important not to ignore potential short-term bounces. pic.twitter.com/o4VBPaFMi9

— Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) December 10, 2024

Just days ago, the analyst tweeted about his view that the peak has been reached, suggesting any potential short-term reversal will be brief.

Investors Turning to New Asset Class Could Give BTC a Boost

However, not everyone believes the 2024 bull run is coming to an end yet. 1971 Capital chief investment officer Brian Russ told Cointelegraph that investors are increasingly turning away from traditional assets, looking for better returns through an investment in Bitcoin and Co.

If we are expecting wider deficits and a cyclical period of higher inflation, then bonds are going to look less attractive compared to real assets. Bitcoin I think gets into that conversation and commodities as well.

Brian Russ, 1971 Capital chief investment officer

Related: Bitcoin Reserve Trend Grows: More States, Countries Consider Adding BTC to Their Coffers

Russ believes the traditional 60/40 portfolio where one invests 60% in equities and 40% in bonds could be a thing of the past – with investors adding a little of Bitcoin to their portfolios.

Now folks are looking for alternatives. So maybe we don’t have the full 40% in the bonds. Maybe gold and silver take up a portion of that. Maybe Bitcoin takes up a portion of that.

Brian Russ, 1971 Capital chief investment officer

The post VanEck’s Altcoin Season Index Signals Imminent Bitcoin Boom appeared first on Crypto News Australia.



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