Technical analyst Charting Guy has shared a new perspective on the relationship between XRP ($2.65) and Ethereum, identifying a setup that he believes could lead to short-term XRP outperformance. 

His analysis, which was posted on the social media platform X, focuses on the XRP/ETH ($4,001.45) weekly chart, where he highlighted the formation of a bullish divergence that has not appeared since mid-2024. The development, he says, signals a constructive shift in momentum that will favor XRP’s price action over Ethereum for the next three months.

A Rare Weekly Bullish Divergence Favors XRP Over Ethereum

In his update, Charting Guy explained that the XRP/ETH weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) was previously rejected but has now reversed into a bullish divergence. The RSI has turned upward from a low region, while the price closed at a lower low last week, which is a tell-tale sign of waning selling pressure and XRP building strength against Ethereum.

This green-marked divergence on the analyst’s XRP/ETH chart, which is shown below, mimics a setup that preceded another major swing in XRP’s favor. The yellow RSI moving average has also started to flatten, and this is another signal that momentum could be stabilizing before a breakout. 

The last time this same configuration occurred was in June 2024, just before XRP began a multi-month surge against Ethereum. Back then, the XRP/ETH pair rose from 0.00015 to as high as 0.0003 in August 2024, before retracing and then finally picking up again in November 2024.

The pattern outlined by the analyst shows XRP/ETH currently consolidating near the 0.00063 ratio level. This time, the setup looks equally compelling. The RSI’s upward curve points to market participation on the XRP side, while Ethereum’s relative momentum continues to slow. If the pattern repeats, it could mark the start of another short-term cycle of the token strength against ETH.

Short-Term Projection Favors XRP

As shown by the projection drawn in blue on the chart above, Charting Guy visualized a scenario where XRP climbs sharply relative to Ethereum. The projection uses the performance of the pair between July 2024 and March 2025 to predict the next move. From here, the projection places the XRP/ETH pair trading above 0.00015 by March 2026.

He concluded his analysis by stating, “I am VERY bullish on $XRP > $ETH the next 3 months.” His three-month forecast implies that XRP could regain a leadership position among major altcoins during the next quarter. If the token manages to outperform Ethereum as predicted, it will close the gap in their market cap.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.64 with a $158 billion market cap. Ethereum, on the other hand, is trading at $4,025 with a $486 billion market cap.